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Super Bowl Handicapping System

From Bill Burton,
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Pick The Super Bowl Winner

More money is bet on the Super Bowl each year than any other sporting event. Everybody thinks they can predict the winner but it’s not easy to do it on a consistent basis. A few years ago I fell upon this system and have used it for analyzing the game. I was quite surprised when I saw the results. Unfortunately I don’t know who devised this system as I would like give them proper credit for it.

This system claims it was tested over the last 37 Super Bowls and has a record of 33 – 2 – 2. (I personally did not go back and locate all of the stats for the previous years but have seen the results for the last four years.) It will take some digging find the stats but they are available on line. Many of them can be obtained by visiting the official NFL website

Super Bowl Handicapping Super Simple System

Unless noted use stats for regular season only.

1. Award 10 points if a team has won a Super Bowl in the last THREE years.
2. Award 8.0 points to any team whose OPPONENT is playing in their very first Super Bowl in Franchise history.
3. Award 8.0 points to the team that has allowed the fewer defensive rushes
4. Award 7.0 points to the team with the best OVERALL SU win/loss record including playoffs
5. Award 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes.
6. Award 5.0 points to the team with the lower defensive rush average per carry.
7. Award 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt Touch Down returns.
8. Award 4.0 points to the team the team with the better ATS record.
9. Award 4.0 points to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards.
10. Award 3.5 points to the team that has the best yards per pass attempt.
11. Award 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest points.
12. Award 3.5 points to the team that has allowed the fewest rushing Touch Downs.
13. Award 3.0 points to the team that has the most sacks.
14. Award 2.5 points to the team with the fewest offensive pass attempts.
15. Award 2.0 points to the team that had the best NET punts (total) on the year.
16. Award 1.5 points to the team with the best average per offensive rush.
17. Award 1.0 points to the team with the best completion percentage.

I won’t give you all the stats for this years game. That takes the fun out of the work involved in using it to find the winner. Think of it as a big scavenger hunt with the reward being that you will have the winning side. (Maybe)

DISCLAIMER: I make no claims to the systems accuracy and this is not an endorsement to gamble illegally.

Until Next time remember:
Luck comes and goes.....Knowledge Stays Forever.

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